Total fertility rate 2017
The total fertility rate measures the average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime, reflecting population growth and demographic trends. Understanding this statistic is crucial for analyzing economic development, healthcare needs, and societal changes across countries.
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Complete Data Rankings
Rank | ||
|---|---|---|
1 | Niger | 6.874 per woman |
2 | Somalia | 6.766 per woman |
3 | Chad | 6.537 per woman |
4 | Congo, Democratic Republic of the | 6.349 per woman |
5 | Mali | 6.251 per woman |
6 | Central African Republic | 6.127 per woman |
7 | Angola | 5.6 per woman |
8 | Burundi | 5.481 per woman |
9 | Afghanistan | 5.433 per woman |
10 | Nigeria | 5.182 per woman |
11 | Burkina Faso | 5.17 per woman |
12 | Benin | 5.155 per woman |
13 | Mozambique | 5.128 per woman |
14 | Mauritania | 5.106 per woman |
15 | Tanzania | 4.988 per woman |
16 | Uganda | 4.987 per woman |
17 | Cameroon | 4.804 per woman |
18 | Guinea | 4.793 per woman |
19 | Sudan | 4.761 per woman |
20 | Côte d'Ivoire | 4.757 per woman |
21 | Mayotte | 4.66 per woman |
22 | Gambia | 4.614 per woman |
23 | Yemen | 4.61 per woman |
24 | Equatorial Guinea | 4.599 per woman |
25 | Togo | 4.576 per woman |
26 | Zambia | 4.567 per woman |
27 | Congo | 4.496 per woman |
28 | Senegal | 4.489 per woman |
29 | South Sudan | 4.483 per woman |
30 | Ethiopia | 4.401 per woman |
31 | Liberia | 4.396 per woman |
32 | Sierra Leone | 4.389 per woman |
33 | Guinea-Bissau | 4.347 per woman |
34 | Comoros | 4.278 per woman |
35 | Madagascar | 4.259 per woman |
36 | Samoa | 4.196 per woman |
37 | Malawi | 4.113 per woman |
38 | Eritrea | 4.112 per woman |
39 | Rwanda | 4.084 per woman |
40 | Sao Tome and Principe | 4.069 per woman |
41 | Solomon Islands | 4.06 per woman |
42 | Gabon | 3.913 per woman |
43 | Pakistan | 3.9 per woman |
44 | French Guiana | 3.884 per woman |
45 | Nauru | 3.879 per woman |
46 | Vanuatu | 3.875 per woman |
47 | State of Palestine | 3.771 per woman |
48 | Zimbabwe | 3.768 per woman |
49 | Ghana | 3.715 per woman |
50 | Iraq | 3.64 per woman |
51 | Kenya | 3.609 per woman |
52 | Namibia | 3.511 per woman |
53 | Papua New Guinea | 3.432 per woman |
54 | Timor-Leste | 3.399 per woman |
55 | Tonga | 3.388 per woman |
56 | Kiribati | 3.339 per woman |
57 | Egypt | 3.31 per woman |
58 | Tuvalu | 3.301 per woman |
59 | Tajikistan | 3.29 per woman |
60 | Israel | 3.123 per woman |
61 | Lesotho | 3.105 per woman |
62 | Algeria | 3.09 per woman |
63 | Guam | 3.088 per woman |
64 | Marshall Islands | 3.064 per woman |
65 | Kyrgyzstan | 3.044 per woman |
66 | Eswatini | 3.018 per woman |
67 | Jordan | 2.994 per woman |
68 | Haiti | 2.985 per woman |
69 | Syrian Arab Republic | 2.972 per woman |
70 | Botswana | 2.969 per woman |
71 | Micronesia (Fed. States of) | 2.957 per woman |
72 | Turkmenistan | 2.934 per woman |
73 | Oman | 2.923 per woman |
74 | Djibouti | 2.916 per woman |
75 | Mongolia | 2.891 per woman |
76 | Guatemala | 2.857 per woman |
77 | Tokelau | 2.811 per woman |
78 | Bolivia | 2.777 per woman |
79 | Niue | 2.765 per woman |
80 | Northern Mariana Islands | 2.762 per woman |
81 | Kazakhstan | 2.745 per woman |
82 | Cambodia | 2.719 per woman |
83 | Laos | 2.691 per woman |
84 | Saudi Arabia | 2.67 per woman |
85 | Honduras | 2.663 per woman |
86 | Saint Martin (French part) | 2.657 per woman |
87 | Libya | 2.626 per woman |
88 | American Samoa | 2.598 per woman |
89 | Guyana | 2.593 per woman |
90 | Paraguay | 2.591 per woman |
91 | Uzbekistan | 2.57 per woman |
92 | Philippines | 2.525 per woman |
93 | Faroe Islands | 2.495 per woman |
94 | Panama | 2.462 per woman |
95 | Fiji | 2.461 per woman |
96 | Suriname | 2.431 per woman |
97 | Monaco | 2.418 per woman |
98 | Dominican Republic | 2.398 per woman |
99 | Nicaragua | 2.378 per woman |
100 | Morocco | 2.375 per woman |
101 | Lebanon | 2.372 per woman |
102 | Belize | 2.368 per woman |
103 | Western Sahara | 2.352 per woman |
104 | Seychelles | 2.313 per woman |
105 | South Africa | 2.283 per woman |
106 | Indonesia | 2.253 per woman |
107 | Myanmar | 2.252 per woman |
108 | Réunion | 2.226 per woman |
109 | Bangladesh | 2.205 per woman |
110 | Tunisia | 2.205 per woman |
111 | India | 2.193 per woman |
112 | United States Virgin Islands | 2.193 per woman |
113 | Venezuela | 2.183 per woman |
114 | Nepal | 2.173 per woman |
115 | Argentina | 2.168 per woman |
116 | Cook Islands | 2.167 per woman |
117 | Kuwait | 2.16 per woman |
118 | Peru | 2.152 per woman |
119 | Georgia | 2.136 per woman |
120 | Ecuador | 2.128 per woman |
121 | Guadeloupe | 2.082 per woman |
122 | Turkey | 2.082 per woman |
123 | Greenland | 2.065 per woman |
124 | Sri Lanka | 2.044 per woman |
125 | New Caledonia | 2.043 per woman |
126 | Mexico | 2.041 per woman |
127 | Wallis and Futuna Islands | 2.027 per woman |
128 | Iran | 2.023 per woman |
129 | Palau | 2.019 per woman |
130 | Vietnam | 1.985 per woman |
131 | Bahrain | 1.984 per woman |
132 | Martinique | 1.966 per woman |
133 | Azerbaijan | 1.961 per woman |
134 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 1.94 per woman |
135 | Gibraltar | 1.93 per woman |
136 | Cabo Verde | 1.93 per woman |
137 | El Salvador | 1.896 per woman |
138 | Malaysia | 1.893 per woman |
139 | Brunei Darussalam | 1.881 per woman |
140 | France | 1.859 per woman |
141 | North Korea | 1.848 per woman |
142 | Qatar | 1.834 per woman |
143 | Uruguay | 1.824 per woman |
144 | New Zealand | 1.811 per woman |
145 | Republic of Moldova | 1.81 per woman |
146 | Maldives | 1.798 per woman |
147 | China | 1.795 per woman |
148 | Montenegro | 1.79 per woman |
149 | Aruba | 1.785 per woman |
150 | Sweden | 1.785 per woman |
151 | Ireland | 1.772 per woman |
152 | Romania | 1.77 per woman |
153 | United States | 1.753 per woman |
154 | Denmark | 1.749 per woman |
155 | Australia | 1.745 per woman |
156 | Brazil | 1.74 per woman |
157 | United Kingdom | 1.735 per woman |
158 | North Macedonia | 1.725 per woman |
159 | Barbados | 1.724 per woman |
160 | Colombia | 1.717 per woman |
161 | Czech Republic | 1.715 per woman |
162 | Costa Rica | 1.714 per woman |
163 | Iceland | 1.711 per woman |
164 | Falkland Islands (Malvinas) | 1.708 per woman |
165 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 1.704 per woman |
166 | Latvia | 1.698 per woman |
167 | Saint Helena | 1.694 per woman |
168 | Montserrat | 1.685 per woman |
169 | Isle of Man | 1.674 per woman |
170 | French Polynesia | 1.669 per woman |
171 | Belgium | 1.641 per woman |
172 | Lithuania | 1.633 per woman |
173 | Russia | 1.627 per woman |
174 | Norway | 1.624 per woman |
175 | Slovenia | 1.622 per woman |
176 | Bhutan | 1.621 per woman |
177 | Kosovo | 1.618 per woman |
178 | Netherlands | 1.617 per woman |
179 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1.61 per woman |
180 | Estonia | 1.596 per woman |
181 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1.594 per woman |
182 | Cuba | 1.585 per woman |
183 | Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 1.571 per woman |
184 | Germany | 1.57 per woman |
185 | Chile | 1.563 per woman |
186 | Armenia | 1.561 per woman |
187 | Bulgaria | 1.557 per woman |
188 | Belarus | 1.55 per woman |
189 | Canada | 1.548 per woman |
190 | Dominica | 1.54 per woman |
191 | Hungary | 1.524 per woman |
192 | Slovakia | 1.521 per woman |
193 | Austria | 1.521 per woman |
194 | Switzerland | 1.519 per woman |
195 | Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba | 1.5 per woman |
196 | Saint Pierre and Miquelon | 1.49 per woman |
197 | Finland | 1.487 per woman |
198 | Albania | 1.486 per woman |
199 | Antigua and Barbuda | 1.485 per woman |
200 | Serbia | 1.483 per woman |
201 | Poland | 1.472 per woman |
202 | Liechtenstein | 1.458 per woman |
203 | Curaçao | 1.455 per woman |
204 | Saint Lucia | 1.448 per woman |
205 | Grenada | 1.438 per woman |
206 | Jamaica | 1.428 per woman |
207 | Bahamas | 1.424 per woman |
208 | Croatia | 1.423 per woman |
209 | Bermuda | 1.419 per woman |
210 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1.419 per woman |
211 | Jersey | 1.419 per woman |
212 | Mauritius | 1.395 per woman |
213 | Luxembourg | 1.392 per woman |
214 | Japan | 1.39 per woman |
215 | Guernsey | 1.383 per woman |
216 | Portugal | 1.377 per woman |
217 | Anguilla | 1.374 per woman |
218 | Thailand | 1.363 per woman |
219 | United Arab Emirates | 1.35 per woman |
220 | Greece | 1.35 per woman |
221 | Cyprus | 1.323 per woman |
222 | Italy | 1.317 per woman |
223 | Spain | 1.305 per woman |
224 | Ukraine | 1.3 per woman |
225 | Malta | 1.271 per woman |
226 | Cayman Islands | 1.222 per woman |
227 | China, Hong Kong SAR | 1.136 per woman |
228 | Puerto Rico | 1.133 per woman |
229 | Andorra | 1.129 per woman |
230 | Taiwan | 1.121 per woman |
231 | San Marino | 1.054 per woman |
232 | South Korea | 1.035 per woman |
233 | China, Macao SAR | 1.019 per woman |
234 | Singapore | 0.936 per woman |
235 | British Virgin Islands | 0.873 per woman |
236 | Saint Barthélemy | 0.809 per woman |
↑Top 10 Countries
- #1
Niger
- #2
Somalia
- #3
Chad
- #4
Congo, Democratic Republic of the
- #5
Mali
- #6
Central African Republic
- #7
Angola
- #8
Burundi
- #9
Afghanistan
- #10
Nigeria
Analysis: These countries represent the highest values in this dataset, showcasing significant scale and impact on global statistics.
↓Bottom 10 Countries
- #236
Saint Barthélemy
- #235
British Virgin Islands
- #234
Singapore
- #233
China, Macao SAR
- #232
South Korea
- #231
San Marino
- #230
Taiwan
- #229
Andorra
- #228
Puerto Rico
- #227
China, Hong Kong SAR
Context: These countries or territories have the lowest values, often due to geographic size, administrative status, or specific characteristics.
Analysis & Context
The total fertility rate (TFR) is a crucial demographic indicator that measures the average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime. This metric provides insights into population growth patterns, economic development, and societal changes across the globe. In 2017, the total fertility rate displayed intriguing trends and variations across countries, significantly influencing policy decisions and future planning.
Global Insights into 2017 Fertility Trends
In 2017, data from 200 countries revealed a wide range of total fertility rates, from a minimum of 1.48 to a maximum of 6.87, with an average global TFR of 2.82 per woman. This diversity in fertility rates highlights the complex demographic landscapes and cultural differences influencing family size across nations. Notably, countries like Niger topped the list with a TFR of 6.87, reflecting a high birth rate typical of regions with limited access to family planning and healthcare. Conversely, countries like Serbia and Finland had some of the lowest TFRs, both falling below 1.49, indicative of advanced economies where family planning and economic factors often result in smaller family sizes.
Regional Variations and Influencing Factors
Examining regional variations, 2017 saw African countries predominantly occupying the top ten slots for highest fertility rates. For instance, Somalia and Chad followed Niger with TFRs of 6.77 and 6.54, respectively. These high fertility rates are often associated with traditional societal norms favoring larger families and limited access to contraception. In contrast, European nations like Hungary and Slovakia recorded significantly lower fertility rates, around 1.52 per woman, driven by socio-economic factors such as increased urbanization, career prioritization, and financial considerations delaying childbirth.
Year-over-Year Changes and Trends
The year 2017 saw an average decrease in the global TFR by 0.05, representing a 1.8% decline from the previous year. This downtrend aligns with the long-term global pattern of declining fertility rates. However, exceptions existed, such as French Guiana, which experienced a notable increase of 0.24, reflecting a 6.7% rise, potentially due to societal shifts or government policies encouraging higher birth rates. On the other hand, Iraq's TFR declined by 0.20, marking a 5.3% reduction, possibly due to the socio-political instability impacting family growth decisions.
Understanding the total fertility rate is pivotal for economic and social planning. High fertility rates in developing regions like Sub-Saharan Africa indicate potential challenges in managing population growth, which can strain resources such as education, healthcare, and employment. Conversely, countries with low fertility rates face issues related to an aging population, labor shortages, and potential economic stagnation. Policymakers must balance these demographic challenges by implementing strategies that support sustainable economic growth while addressing the specific needs of their populations.
Future Outlook on Global Fertility Patterns
As we look toward the future, the global trend of declining fertility rates is expected to continue, influenced by increased access to education, healthcare improvements, and changing societal norms regarding family size. Countries with persistently high fertility rates may focus on enhancing family planning services and education to manage population growth sustainably. Meanwhile, nations with low fertility rates might explore policies that encourage higher birth rates, such as parental leave incentives and child care support, to ensure a balanced demographic structure and economic vitality.
In summary, the total fertility rate in 2017 underscores the diverse demographic patterns and challenges faced by nations worldwide. Understanding these trends is essential for developing well-informed policies that address both the economic and social dimensions of population dynamics.
Insights by country
Albania
In 2017, Albania had a total fertility rate of 1.485796 children per woman, ranking it 198th out of 236 countries in terms of fertility. This figure is indicative of a declining trend in birth rates, reflecting broader demographic shifts within the country.
Several factors contribute to this low fertility rate, including increased urbanization, higher levels of education among women, and greater participation of women in the workforce. Additionally, economic considerations, such as the cost of raising children and access to family planning services, play significant roles in family planning decisions.
As a comparison, the global average fertility rate has been decreasing, with many European countries experiencing similar trends. In the context of the Balkans, Albania's fertility rate is relatively low, which may have implications for population aging and future labor market dynamics.
Aruba
In 2017, Aruba had a total fertility rate of 1.785258 children per woman, ranking it 149th out of 236 countries worldwide. This rate is indicative of a population that is experiencing low fertility levels, which is reflective of broader trends observed in many developed regions.
The low fertility rate in Aruba can be attributed to several factors, including increased access to education and employment opportunities for women, urbanization, and a shift in societal values towards smaller family sizes. Additionally, the availability of family planning services and a focus on economic stability also play significant roles in influencing reproductive choices among the population.
As a related observation, the total fertility rate in Aruba is below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman, which suggests potential challenges related to population aging and labor force sustainability in the future. This trend is consistent with many Caribbean nations, where similar demographic shifts are noted.
Denmark
In 2017, Denmark ranked 154th out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate, with a value of 1.748925 births per woman. This figure is notably below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman, which is necessary for a population to maintain its size without immigration.
The total fertility rate in Denmark has been influenced by a variety of factors, including societal norms that prioritize education and career over early childbearing, as well as access to family planning and reproductive health services. Additionally, the high cost of living and housing can deter larger families.
Denmark is known for its comprehensive welfare system, which includes parental leave and child care support, potentially encouraging higher birth rates compared to countries with less supportive policies. However, the trend towards smaller families has become increasingly common across many developed nations, reflecting changing attitudes towards family size and child-rearing.
China, Hong Kong SAR
In 2017, Hong Kong SAR had a total fertility rate of 1.135634 children per woman, ranking it 227th out of 236 countries in terms of fertility rates. This figure indicates a significantly low level of population replacement, as the generally accepted replacement rate is approximately 2.1 children per woman.
The low fertility rate in Hong Kong can be attributed to several factors, including high living costs, career-focused lifestyles, and late marriages. Many couples in Hong Kong prioritize their careers and financial security over starting families, leading to a decline in birth rates. Additionally, urbanization and limited living space further contribute to the reluctance to have more children.
As a point of comparison, the overall fertility rate in mainland China also reflects a declining trend, influenced by policies and socio-economic conditions similar to those in Hong Kong. The implications of such low fertility rates could lead to potential challenges in sustaining the workforce and addressing an aging population in the coming decades.
Congo, Democratic Republic of the
The Congo, Democratic Republic of the has one of the highest total fertility rates in the world, ranking 4th out of 236 countries in 2017. The total fertility rate in this country was approximately 6.35 children per woman, reflecting a significant trend of high birth rates that persists in many regions of Sub-Saharan Africa.
This elevated fertility rate can be attributed to several factors, including limited access to family planning services, cultural norms that favor large families, and a lack of education, particularly among women. Additionally, socio-economic conditions, such as poverty and high infant mortality rates, often lead families to have more children as a means of ensuring that some survive to adulthood.
It is noteworthy that the high fertility rates in the Democratic Republic of the Congo have implications for the nation’s development, influencing population growth, resource allocation, and healthcare systems. Moreover, the country’s demographic profile is characterized by a young population, with a median age of around 18 years, which presents both challenges and opportunities for future economic growth and social development.
Bermuda
Bermuda ranks 209th out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate, with a rate of 1.419273 children per woman recorded in 2017. This statistic indicates that the population growth rate is below the replacement level, which is typically considered to be 2.1 children per woman.
Several factors contribute to Bermuda's low fertility rate, including a high cost of living, limited space for family expansion, and a trend towards delayed parenthood as individuals prioritize education and career advancement. Additionally, the availability of family planning services and changing societal norms regarding family size have influenced reproductive choices.
In the context of global fertility trends, Bermuda's rate aligns with patterns observed in many developed nations, where urbanization and economic factors often correlate with lower birth rates. Interestingly, the fertility rates in many Caribbean nations are generally higher, highlighting Bermuda's unique demographic challenges.
Papua New Guinea
Papua New Guinea had a total fertility rate of 3.43 children per woman in 2017, ranking it 53rd out of 236 countries. This relatively high fertility rate reflects a combination of cultural, social, and economic factors that influence family size and reproductive health in the country.
Several reasons contribute to this statistic, including limited access to family planning services, prevalent cultural norms favoring larger families, and lower levels of female education. Additionally, rural areas, which comprise a significant portion of the population, often have less access to healthcare resources, further influencing reproductive choices.
Interestingly, Papua New Guinea's fertility rate is higher than the global average, which has been declining due to increased urbanization and access to education. The country's fertility patterns highlight the ongoing need for improved maternal health services and family planning initiatives to support women's reproductive rights and health outcomes.
Saint Barthélemy
In 2017, Saint Barthélemy recorded a total fertility rate of 0.809353 children per woman, ranking 236 out of 236 countries globally. This exceptionally low fertility rate is indicative of the demographic trends prevalent in many developed territories, where factors such as increased access to education, family planning, and women's participation in the workforce play significant roles.
The low fertility rate in Saint Barthélemy may be influenced by its status as a high-income territory with a strong emphasis on tourism and a relatively small population. As urbanization increases and lifestyle choices shift, many residents opt for smaller families or delay childbirth, contributing to this declining rate. Additionally, the territory's healthcare system supports reproductive health, providing residents with comprehensive family planning services.
Interestingly, low fertility rates are a common trend in many Caribbean territories, often leading to concerns about long-term population sustainability and the potential economic implications of an aging population. As global demographics continue to evolve, understanding the factors contributing to such trends in regions like Saint Barthélemy is essential for policymakers and social planners.
Netherlands
In 2017, the Netherlands ranked 178th out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate. The total fertility rate for the country stood at 1.61653 children per woman, which is below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman necessary for a stable population in the absence of immigration.
The relatively low fertility rate in the Netherlands can be attributed to various factors, including increased access to education and employment opportunities for women, a cultural shift towards smaller family sizes, and a focus on work-life balance. Additionally, the availability of comprehensive family planning services and a supportive social welfare system contribute to the demographic trends observed in the country.
Interestingly, the Netherlands exhibits a high life expectancy, which can also influence fertility rates; as families opt for fewer children, they tend to invest more resources into the upbringing of each child. Furthermore, the country is known for its progressive policies regarding parental leave and childcare, which may also play a role in shaping family dynamics and decisions regarding childbearing.
Brazil
In 2017, Brazil ranked 156th out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate, with a rate of 1.739878 children per woman. This figure is significantly below the replacement level of approximately 2.1 children per woman, which is necessary for a population to maintain its size without immigration.
The decline in Brazil's fertility rate can be attributed to various factors, including increased access to education and employment opportunities for women, urbanization, and the widespread availability of contraceptive methods. Additionally, societal shifts towards smaller family sizes and changing perceptions of parenthood have influenced reproductive choices.
Interestingly, this trend mirrors that of several other nations in Latin America, where fertility rates have been decreasing over the past few decades. In comparison, Brazil's fertility rate was notably higher in the late 20th century, indicating a significant demographic transition within the country.
Data Source
United Nations Population Division
The Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs conducts demographic research, supports intergovernmental processes at the United Nations in the area of population and development, and assists countries in developing their capacity to produce and analyse population data and information. The Division brings population issues to the attention of the international community by highlighting the central role of demographic trends in all aspects of sustainable development. The Division publishes datasets on the world’s population and analyzes global demographic trends.
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