Total fertility rate 2015
The total fertility rate measures the average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime, reflecting population growth and demographic trends. Understanding this statistic is crucial for analyzing economic development, healthcare needs, and societal changes across countries.
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Complete Data Rankings
Rank | ||
|---|---|---|
1 | Niger | 7.215 per woman |
2 | Somalia | 6.975 per woman |
3 | Chad | 6.706 per woman |
4 | Congo, Democratic Republic of the | 6.437 per woman |
5 | Mali | 6.385 per woman |
6 | Central African Republic | 6.126 per woman |
7 | Angola | 5.774 per woman |
8 | Burundi | 5.695 per woman |
9 | Afghanistan | 5.652 per woman |
10 | Nigeria | 5.503 per woman |
11 | Burkina Faso | 5.478 per woman |
12 | Benin | 5.32 per woman |
13 | Uganda | 5.251 per woman |
14 | Mozambique | 5.245 per woman |
15 | Mauritania | 5.211 per woman |
16 | Tanzania | 5.025 per woman |
17 | Gambia | 5.003 per woman |
18 | Guinea | 5.002 per woman |
19 | Côte d'Ivoire | 4.97 per woman |
20 | Sudan | 4.898 per woman |
21 | Cameroon | 4.841 per woman |
22 | Zambia | 4.775 per woman |
23 | Equatorial Guinea | 4.774 per woman |
24 | Senegal | 4.751 per woman |
25 | South Sudan | 4.695 per woman |
26 | Mayotte | 4.675 per woman |
27 | Togo | 4.662 per woman |
28 | Guinea-Bissau | 4.661 per woman |
29 | Yemen | 4.617 per woman |
30 | Congo | 4.607 per woman |
31 | Sierra Leone | 4.548 per woman |
32 | Ethiopia | 4.529 per woman |
33 | Liberia | 4.523 per woman |
34 | Comoros | 4.42 per woman |
35 | Malawi | 4.384 per woman |
36 | Sao Tome and Principe | 4.354 per woman |
37 | Samoa | 4.344 per woman |
38 | Madagascar | 4.335 per woman |
39 | Solomon Islands | 4.291 per woman |
40 | Eritrea | 4.217 per woman |
41 | Rwanda | 4.108 per woman |
42 | Iraq | 4.08 per woman |
43 | Nauru | 4.075 per woman |
44 | Pakistan | 3.988 per woman |
45 | Ghana | 3.982 per woman |
46 | State of Palestine | 3.977 per woman |
47 | Vanuatu | 3.952 per woman |
48 | Gabon | 3.921 per woman |
49 | Zimbabwe | 3.911 per woman |
50 | Timor-Leste | 3.779 per woman |
51 | Kenya | 3.766 per woman |
52 | Namibia | 3.604 per woman |
53 | Papua New Guinea | 3.558 per woman |
54 | French Guiana | 3.547 per woman |
55 | Tonga | 3.54 per woman |
56 | Egypt | 3.5 per woman |
57 | Tajikistan | 3.459 per woman |
58 | Kiribati | 3.438 per woman |
59 | Tuvalu | 3.308 per woman |
60 | Lesotho | 3.217 per woman |
61 | Kyrgyzstan | 3.208 per woman |
62 | Jordan | 3.141 per woman |
63 | Northern Mariana Islands | 3.134 per woman |
64 | Marshall Islands | 3.131 per woman |
65 | Eswatini | 3.122 per woman |
66 | Haiti | 3.11 per woman |
67 | Israel | 3.093 per woman |
68 | Algeria | 3.091 per woman |
69 | Syrian Arab Republic | 3.067 per woman |
70 | Micronesia (Fed. States of) | 3.049 per woman |
71 | Djibouti | 3.041 per woman |
72 | Turkmenistan | 3.033 per woman |
73 | Guatemala | 3.029 per woman |
74 | Mongolia | 3.01 per woman |
75 | Botswana | 3.008 per woman |
76 | Oman | 2.965 per woman |
77 | Guam | 2.933 per woman |
78 | Tokelau | 2.924 per woman |
79 | Bolivia | 2.886 per woman |
80 | Niue | 2.879 per woman |
81 | Philippines | 2.829 per woman |
82 | Laos | 2.796 per woman |
83 | American Samoa | 2.78 per woman |
84 | Kazakhstan | 2.755 per woman |
85 | Honduras | 2.746 per woman |
86 | Cambodia | 2.729 per woman |
87 | Libya | 2.711 per woman |
88 | Guyana | 2.667 per woman |
89 | Saint Martin (French part) | 2.665 per woman |
90 | Paraguay | 2.645 per woman |
91 | Saudi Arabia | 2.63 per woman |
92 | Uzbekistan | 2.583 per woman |
93 | Suriname | 2.57 per woman |
94 | Fiji | 2.567 per woman |
95 | Panama | 2.53 per woman |
96 | Monaco | 2.503 per woman |
97 | Nicaragua | 2.434 per woman |
98 | Belize | 2.433 per woman |
99 | Dominican Republic | 2.43 per woman |
100 | Faroe Islands | 2.42 per woman |
101 | Western Sahara | 2.417 per woman |
102 | Morocco | 2.406 per woman |
103 | Lebanon | 2.382 per woman |
104 | South Africa | 2.359 per woman |
105 | Argentina | 2.35 per woman |
106 | Indonesia | 2.346 per woman |
107 | Tunisia | 2.306 per woman |
108 | India | 2.289 per woman |
109 | Nepal | 2.273 per woman |
110 | Myanmar | 2.266 per woman |
111 | Venezuela | 2.253 per woman |
112 | Réunion | 2.235 per woman |
113 | Peru | 2.229 per woman |
114 | Bangladesh | 2.227 per woman |
115 | United States Virgin Islands | 2.218 per woman |
116 | Seychelles | 2.217 per woman |
117 | Georgia | 2.214 per woman |
118 | Ecuador | 2.209 per woman |
119 | Cook Islands | 2.208 per woman |
120 | Guadeloupe | 2.179 per woman |
121 | Turkey | 2.157 per woman |
122 | Mexico | 2.137 per woman |
123 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 2.133 per woman |
124 | Bahrain | 2.113 per woman |
125 | Vietnam | 2.1 per woman |
126 | Azerbaijan | 2.092 per woman |
127 | Sri Lanka | 2.09 per woman |
128 | New Caledonia | 2.079 per woman |
129 | Greenland | 2.076 per woman |
130 | Gibraltar | 2.074 per woman |
131 | El Salvador | 2.067 per woman |
132 | Uruguay | 2.041 per woman |
133 | Kuwait | 2.03 per woman |
134 | Iran | 2.017 per woman |
135 | Malaysia | 2.008 per woman |
136 | Maldives | 2.004 per woman |
137 | Palau | 2.002 per woman |
138 | New Zealand | 1.982 per woman |
139 | Qatar | 1.976 per woman |
140 | Wallis and Futuna Islands | 1.972 per woman |
141 | Martinique | 1.972 per woman |
142 | Cabo Verde | 1.968 per woman |
143 | Brunei Darussalam | 1.947 per woman |
144 | France | 1.927 per woman |
145 | Aruba | 1.899 per woman |
146 | Curaçao | 1.896 per woman |
147 | French Polynesia | 1.872 per woman |
148 | Republic of Moldova | 1.87 per woman |
149 | North Korea | 1.863 per woman |
150 | Ireland | 1.861 per woman |
151 | Sweden | 1.847 per woman |
152 | Bhutan | 1.835 per woman |
153 | United States | 1.832 per woman |
154 | Iceland | 1.809 per woman |
155 | Australia | 1.803 per woman |
156 | United Kingdom | 1.801 per woman |
157 | Costa Rica | 1.797 per woman |
158 | Russia | 1.79 per woman |
159 | Brazil | 1.777 per woman |
160 | Colombia | 1.771 per woman |
161 | Kosovo | 1.763 per woman |
162 | North Macedonia | 1.758 per woman |
163 | Montenegro | 1.756 per woman |
164 | Isle of Man | 1.748 per woman |
165 | Chile | 1.737 per woman |
166 | Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 1.732 per woman |
167 | Norway | 1.728 per woman |
168 | Belarus | 1.728 per woman |
169 | Barbados | 1.726 per woman |
170 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 1.718 per woman |
171 | Grenada | 1.715 per woman |
172 | Denmark | 1.712 per woman |
173 | Falkland Islands (Malvinas) | 1.71 per woman |
174 | Latvia | 1.706 per woman |
175 | Lithuania | 1.705 per woman |
176 | Saint Helena | 1.699 per woman |
177 | Belgium | 1.69 per woman |
178 | Cuba | 1.685 per woman |
179 | China | 1.67 per woman |
180 | Netherlands | 1.657 per woman |
181 | Dominica | 1.648 per woman |
182 | Finland | 1.645 per woman |
183 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1.643 per woman |
184 | Albania | 1.631 per woman |
185 | Romania | 1.621 per woman |
186 | Armenia | 1.621 per woman |
187 | Canada | 1.601 per woman |
188 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1.598 per woman |
189 | Czech Republic | 1.589 per woman |
190 | Estonia | 1.58 per woman |
191 | Slovenia | 1.576 per woman |
192 | Bahamas | 1.574 per woman |
193 | Antigua and Barbuda | 1.567 per woman |
194 | Switzerland | 1.537 per woman |
195 | Bulgaria | 1.528 per woman |
196 | Saint Pierre and Miquelon | 1.519 per woman |
197 | Montserrat | 1.512 per woman |
198 | Jersey | 1.51 per woman |
199 | Jamaica | 1.508 per woman |
200 | Germany | 1.501 per woman |
201 | Austria | 1.492 per woman |
202 | Guernsey | 1.473 per woman |
203 | Saint Lucia | 1.473 per woman |
204 | Luxembourg | 1.465 per woman |
205 | Serbia | 1.46 per woman |
206 | Thailand | 1.451 per woman |
207 | Hungary | 1.446 per woman |
208 | Bermuda | 1.44 per woman |
209 | Liechtenstein | 1.425 per woman |
210 | United Arab Emirates | 1.417 per woman |
211 | Japan | 1.415 per woman |
212 | Croatia | 1.403 per woman |
213 | Slovakia | 1.403 per woman |
214 | Anguilla | 1.39 per woman |
215 | Ukraine | 1.387 per woman |
216 | Malta | 1.376 per woman |
217 | Puerto Rico | 1.35 per woman |
218 | Italy | 1.344 per woman |
219 | Spain | 1.33 per woman |
220 | Greece | 1.328 per woman |
221 | Poland | 1.323 per woman |
222 | Cyprus | 1.323 per woman |
223 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1.322 per woman |
224 | Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba | 1.32 per woman |
225 | Mauritius | 1.319 per woman |
226 | Portugal | 1.302 per woman |
227 | Cayman Islands | 1.269 per woman |
228 | China, Hong Kong SAR | 1.227 per woman |
229 | Andorra | 1.223 per woman |
230 | South Korea | 1.202 per woman |
231 | San Marino | 1.196 per woman |
232 | British Virgin Islands | 1.186 per woman |
233 | Taiwan | 1.185 per woman |
234 | China, Macao SAR | 1.142 per woman |
235 | Saint Barthélemy | 1.052 per woman |
236 | Singapore | 0.977 per woman |
↑Top 10 Countries
- #1
Niger
- #2
Somalia
- #3
Chad
- #4
Congo, Democratic Republic of the
- #5
Mali
- #6
Central African Republic
- #7
Angola
- #8
Burundi
- #9
Afghanistan
- #10
Nigeria
Analysis: These countries represent the highest values in this dataset, showcasing significant scale and impact on global statistics.
↓Bottom 10 Countries
- #236
Singapore
- #235
Saint Barthélemy
- #234
China, Macao SAR
- #233
Taiwan
- #232
British Virgin Islands
- #231
San Marino
- #230
South Korea
- #229
Andorra
- #228
China, Hong Kong SAR
- #227
Cayman Islands
Context: These countries or territories have the lowest values, often due to geographic size, administrative status, or specific characteristics.
Analysis & Context
The total fertility rate (TFR) serves as a critical demographic indicator, measuring the average number of children a woman is expected to have over her lifetime. In 2015, this statistic offered valuable insights into population growth dynamics, economic development, and societal transformations across the globe. Understanding these trends is paramount for policymakers, economists, and public health officials as they navigate the complexities of global development.
Global Demographic Trends in 2015
In 2015, the total fertility rate varied significantly across 200 countries, with a minimum value of 1.50 and a maximum of 7.21. The average TFR was 2.91, a figure that highlights substantial regional disparities. High fertility rates were predominantly observed in African nations, with Niger topping the list at 7.21 children per woman, followed closely by Somalia and Chad. Such high rates are indicative of the ongoing population growth in these regions, driven by cultural norms, economic conditions, and access to health care and education.
Conversely, countries in Europe, such as Germany and Slovenia, displayed some of the lowest fertility rates, both below 1.6. These figures point to a trend of aging populations and potential challenges related to workforce sustainability and economic support systems.
The TFR is closely linked to economic and social factors that influence family planning decisions. In countries with high fertility rates, like Niger and Chad, economic constraints often limit access to education and healthcare, leading to larger family sizes. However, these nations face significant challenges in providing adequate resources and services to their rapidly growing populations.
On the other hand, low fertility rates in developed nations, such as Germany and Switzerland, raise concerns about the long-term economic implications of shrinking labor forces. These countries often experience increased demand for immigration to sustain their economies and provide for aging populations. As a result, fertility rates play a crucial role in shaping not only demographic profiles but also economic strategies and immigration policies.
Public Health Concerns and Fertility Rates
The variations in fertility rates also highlight distinct public health challenges. In high-fertility countries, maternal and child health are central concerns, requiring substantial investment in healthcare infrastructure and services. Efforts to improve maternal health and reduce infant mortality are crucial for sustainable development in these regions.
In contrast, low-fertility countries face the challenge of supporting an aging population, necessitating investments in healthcare services for the elderly and policies to encourage higher birth rates or accommodate increased immigration. For instance, countries like Japan and Italy have implemented various incentives to boost fertility rates, although with varying degrees of success.
Historical Context and Changes Over Time
From a historical perspective, the global fertility rate has seen a gradual decline over past decades, reflecting shifts in societal norms and improvements in women's education and healthcare access. In 2015, this trend continued, with many countries experiencing further decreases in fertility rates, influenced by urbanization and changing family structures.
Interestingly, some nations, such as China, have witnessed significant policy-driven changes. The relaxation of China's one-child policy in 2015 marked a pivotal moment, aiming to balance population control with economic needs. Such policy shifts demonstrate the dynamic relationship between governance and demographic outcomes.
Exploring Regional Disparities
Regional disparities in fertility rates are stark, with Africa and parts of the Middle East exhibiting the highest rates, while Europe and East Asia remain at the lower end of the spectrum. These differences are often rooted in cultural, economic, and political factors that shape reproductive behavior and family planning practices.
In Africa, high fertility rates are typically associated with limited access to contraception and education, underscoring the need for targeted interventions to promote sustainable development. In contrast, low fertility rates in Europe are often linked to economic pressures and lifestyle choices that prioritize career advancement and personal freedom over traditional family structures.
The total fertility rate in 2015 provides a lens through which to view the complexities of global demographic shifts. As countries navigate these changes, understanding the implications of fertility rates becomes essential for crafting effective policies and fostering sustainable growth. By examining these trends, we gain insights into the future challenges and opportunities that lie ahead in managing population dynamics worldwide.
Insights by country
Serbia
In 2015, Serbia ranked 205th out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate, with a value of 1.460113 children per woman. This statistic indicates a below-replacement level of fertility, which is often defined as a total fertility rate of 2.1 children per woman needed to maintain a stable population without immigration.
The low fertility rate in Serbia can be attributed to various factors, including economic instability, urbanization, and changing societal norms regarding family size and roles. Many young couples in Serbia face challenges such as high unemployment rates, which can deter them from starting families or having more children.
Additionally, Serbia has experienced significant demographic changes due to emigration and an aging population, which further compounds the fertility issue. As a result, the government has implemented various policies aimed at encouraging childbirth, such as financial incentives and parental leave, to combat this declining trend.
Laos
In 2015, Laos had a total fertility rate of 2.80 children per woman, ranking it 82nd out of 236 countries globally. This figure indicates a moderately high level of fertility compared to many other nations, reflecting cultural norms and socio-economic factors that influence family size.
The total fertility rate in Laos can be influenced by several factors, including access to education, healthcare, and family planning services. Rural areas typically exhibit higher fertility rates due to limited access to contraceptives and lower educational attainment, while urbanization tends to correlate with lower fertility rates.
Additionally, Laos is characterized by a young population, with a significant proportion under the age of 15, which contributes to a higher potential for future births. The country's fertility rate has implications for its demographic transition and economic development, as a higher number of births can lead to increased pressure on resources and services.
Afghanistan
In 2015, Afghanistan had the ninth-highest total fertility rate in the world, recorded at 5.65 children per woman. This high fertility rate reflects the country's socio-cultural norms, where larger families are often preferred and seen as a source of economic support.
The high total fertility rate in Afghanistan can be attributed to several factors, including limited access to family planning services, high infant mortality rates, and cultural traditions that favor larger families. Additionally, ongoing conflicts and instability have affected women's education and health care access, which in turn influences reproductive choices.
As a point of comparison, the global average fertility rate was approximately 2.5 children per woman in 2015, highlighting Afghanistan's significantly higher rate. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for policymakers aiming to improve health outcomes and economic conditions in the region.
Eswatini
In 2015, Eswatini ranked 65th out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate, with a rate of 3.12 children per woman. This rate reflects a moderately high level of fertility compared to global averages, indicating a demographic trend that can influence future population growth and socio-economic dynamics within the country.
The relatively high fertility rate in Eswatini can be attributed to several factors, including cultural norms that favor larger families, along with limited access to family planning services and education about reproductive health. Additionally, socioeconomic factors such as poverty and rural living conditions often contribute to higher birth rates.
It is noteworthy that Eswatini's total fertility rate has been gradually declining over recent decades, demonstrating a shift towards smaller family sizes, which is consistent with trends observed in many developing nations as they undergo economic and social transformations.
Barbados
In 2015, Barbados ranked 169th out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate, with a value of 1.725554 children per woman. This figure is indicative of a declining trend in fertility rates, which reflects broader demographic changes in the region.
The relatively low fertility rate in Barbados can be attributed to several factors, including increased access to education and family planning services, higher participation of women in the workforce, and changing societal norms regarding family size. Additionally, economic conditions and urbanization have influenced lifestyle choices, leading many couples to delay childbirth or opt for smaller families.
Notably, the total fertility rate in Barbados is below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman, which is necessary for a population to maintain its size in the absence of immigration. This trend aligns with patterns observed in other Caribbean nations and highlights the need for policymakers to address potential implications for future population growth and socioeconomic stability.
Brunei Darussalam
In 2015, Brunei Darussalam had a total fertility rate of 1.947095 children per woman, ranking it 143rd out of 236 countries in terms of fertility rates. This relatively low fertility rate is indicative of broader trends in the region, where many Southeast Asian countries are experiencing declining birth rates due to various socioeconomic factors.
Several factors contribute to this statistic, including increased access to education and healthcare, higher participation of women in the workforce, and changing societal values regarding family size and child-rearing. The government of Brunei has also promoted family planning and reproductive health services, which have further influenced fertility trends.
Notably, Brunei's fertility rate is below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman, a situation that could have implications for future demographic trends and economic sustainability. As of 2015, this trend aligns with global patterns, where many developed and developing nations are witnessing similar declines in fertility rates.
Seychelles
Seychelles ranked 116 out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate in 2015. The country recorded a total fertility rate of 2.217112 children per woman, reflecting a transitional demographic stage characteristic of many small island nations.
Several factors influence this fertility rate, including access to education and family planning services, economic development, and cultural attitudes towards family size. In Seychelles, increased educational attainment, especially among women, has contributed to a decline in fertility rates as women delay childbirth to pursue careers and higher education.
Interestingly, Seychelles has also seen improvements in healthcare, which can impact fertility rates; better maternal and child health services tend to reduce the number of desired children as families focus on quality of life and child upbringing.
Ethiopia
Ethiopia ranks 32nd out of 236 countries in terms of total fertility rate, with a notable rate of 4.53 children per woman in the year 2015. This statistic highlights the country's relatively high level of fertility compared to global averages, which were approximately 2.5 children per woman around the same time.
The high fertility rate in Ethiopia can be attributed to several factors, including limited access to family planning services, cultural norms favoring larger families, and a relatively low level of female education. Additionally, rural areas tend to have higher fertility rates due to traditional practices and a reliance on agriculture, where more children are often viewed as beneficial for labor.
In contrast, urban areas typically exhibit lower fertility rates, reflecting differences in lifestyle, education, and access to healthcare. The Ethiopian government has made efforts to reduce the fertility rate through various health initiatives aimed at improving maternal health and increasing access to reproductive health services.
San Marino
In 2015, San Marino had a total fertility rate of 1.195767 children per woman, ranking it 231 out of 236 countries in terms of fertility rates globally. This figure indicates a significantly low birth rate, reflective of trends observed in many developed nations.
The low fertility rate in San Marino can be attributed to various factors, including increased access to education for women, economic considerations, and a shift in societal values towards smaller family sizes. As women pursue higher education and careers, the age of first-time motherhood tends to rise, contributing to fewer children being born.
Additionally, San Marino's demographic profile is characterized by an aging population, which further exacerbates the challenges associated with low fertility rates. In comparison, other European nations face similar trends, with many experiencing fertility rates below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman.
Venezuela
In 2015, Venezuela had a total fertility rate of 2.252867 children per woman, ranking it 111th out of 236 countries in terms of fertility rates. This statistic reflects a moderate level of fertility compared to global averages, indicating a trend toward smaller family sizes.
Several factors contribute to this fertility rate in Venezuela, including economic instability, access to family planning resources, and shifting societal norms regarding family size. Economic challenges have led to increased urbanization and women’s participation in the workforce, which often correlates with lower fertility rates.
Additionally, Venezuela's healthcare system has faced significant challenges, which can affect reproductive health services and family planning. In comparison to other countries in the region, Venezuela's fertility rate was relatively high, suggesting that cultural and socioeconomic factors play a critical role in family planning decisions.
Data Source
United Nations Population Division
The Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs conducts demographic research, supports intergovernmental processes at the United Nations in the area of population and development, and assists countries in developing their capacity to produce and analyse population data and information. The Division brings population issues to the attention of the international community by highlighting the central role of demographic trends in all aspects of sustainable development. The Division publishes datasets on the world’s population and analyzes global demographic trends.
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